The US dollar begins the week on stronger footing, supported by firmer equity sentiment as US futures rise, led by the NASDAQ. Overnight, Japan’s Q3 GDP contracted less severely than expected, reinforcing Prime Minister Takahi’s push for fiscal stimulus amid rising tensions with China over Taiwan, which also weighed on Japanese retail and tourism stocks.
In Europe, the euro is under pressure after EU officials cut the 2026 growth forecast to 1.2%, with broader concerns around trade tensions, weak German performance, and French political instability pointing to a cautious economic outlook. ECB policymakers Gindos and Maloof highlighted ongoing financial risks and the need for a data-dependent stance.
Meanwhile, Swiss Q3 GDP unexpectedly fell, driven by sharp declines in chemicals and pharma.
Today’s key data includes the US Empire Manufacturing Survey, Canada CPI, and remarks from several Fed, ECB, and BOE officials.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
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