Nasdaq weakness before Christmas?

  • In December, the Nasdaq has seen an increase of over 5%, and its performance for 2023 stands at 43%, on track for its best year since 2020.
  • However, it is not far from yesterday’s close which raises caution, as it could suggest either a consolidation phase or a potential reversal. 

Barely hanging on to gains in a streak lasting ten days, US stocks managed to recover from initial losses and were trading slightly higher on Wednesday. The attempt to secure a tenth consecutive session of gains pushed the Nasdaq 100 to a new record high of 16,830.  

In December, the Nasdaq has seen an increase of over 5%, and its performance for 2023 stands at 43%, on track for its best year since 2020. These gains can be attributed to expectations of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next year. Additionally, positive economic data this week exceeded expectations, with existing home sales unexpectedly rising and CB consumer confidence experiencing its most significant increase since early 2021. 

The NAS100 is currently trading above both the 200-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend. However, it is not far from yesterday’s close which raises caution, as it could suggest either a consolidation phase or a potential reversal. 

In the short term, there may be some weakness targeting the 16,750 area and 16,400, the latter being the level where consolidation occurred at the beginning of December before the most recent upward movement. 

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