- Despite a high probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve, as indicated by a 67% chance in the CME’s FedWatch Tool, gold prices have surprisingly declined by 0.5%
Gold surged to an all-time high before pulling back, as investors await the Federal Reserve’s first move to ease monetary policy in over four years.
Traders are pricing in a 67% chance of a 50-basis-point rate cut, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. Yet, despite growing expectations of an aggressive start to the policy easing, gold has slipped 0.5%, paring last week’s gains to 2.9%.
Could we see more downside in gold if a 25-basis-point eventuates from the Fed? $2,530 could be a potential level of support in this scenario.
Technical indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), have eased from near-overbought levels but perhaps not enough to suggest a more significant decline in gold prices is imminent.
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