EURUSD Key levels pivotal as NFP nears

  • Euro shows a bearish bias on 4-hour chart, hovers near 20-day SMA
  • Critical levels at 1.0840 and 1.0910 resisted, 1.0733 support possible if US jobs data closes weakly.
 EUR/USD

The 4-hour chart on the EUR/USD displays a possible bearish bias, but there are some indications of consolidation after the small rebound observed on Friday. At present, the price is lingering around the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). To improve its bullish outlook, it would be necessary for the Euro to hit 1.0840 and for other technical indicators (that have shifted away from their bearish inclination) to remain in its favor. 

The attention is now directed towards upcoming employment and inflation data. The JOLTS Job Openings report is scheduled for release on Tuesday, followed by the ADP survey on private job creation, in anticipation of the Nonfarm Payrolls report to be unveiled on Friday. In the realm of European data, emphasis is also placed on inflation reports. Commencing Wednesday, Eurozone nations will commence the release of preliminary August Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Additionally, on Tuesday, the German Gfk Consumer Confidence survey is set to be published. 

If there is a weekly closure in proximity to the current levels after the US jobs reports, it might embolden sellers in the next week, potentially opening the price zone around 1.0733 as seen on the EUR/USD chart. In the meantime, resistance could potentially be encountered at levels 1.0840 and 1.0910. 

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