ECB decision shadowed by tariff risk

  • The European Central Bank is expected to cut rates for a seventh time on April 17, despite the euro reaching a three-year high.
  • Ongoing uncertainty from President Trump’s tariff announcements is pressuring the US dollar and could influence future ECB policy decisions.

Markets will be closely watching the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision on April 17, with expectations for a seventh consecutive rate cut. 

Despite this expectation, the euro surged to a three-year high against the US dollar last week, as traders continued to pull away from US assets.  

The dollar index has dropped 4% since President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcements on April 2, falling below the key 100 level too. 

At this stage, market participants will be looking for any signals on how the ECB might respond to the potential spillover effects of President Trump’s tariff measures. While some guidance may emerge around already-announced policies, the risk of further unpredictability remains high. 

Trump being Trump, it is perhaps unlikely we have seen the last of his volatility-inducing tariff announcements. This can weigh further on the dollar, eroding confidence in the world’s reserve currency. 

For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.        

Economic Calendar

Most Traded

Trading Opportunities

Gold hits record as Polymarket flips Fed call

Safe-haven currencies gain in uncertain trade landscape | FX Research

BOC decision – trading the uncertainty

Dollar dips on structural concerns | FX Research

Limited offer:

Get Free

The TraderKeys keyboard can take your gold trading to the next level, with preprogrammed hot keys enabling you easily execute and modify trades.

Join Now