As US traders return from the Independence Day holiday, they’ll find a stronger dollar supported by renewed trade tensions and geopolitical noise. Tariffs are back in focus ahead of Wednesday’s deadline, with President Trump warning that countries aligning with BRICS policies contrary to US interests will face a 10% tariff.
Markets remain frustrated by shifting timelines as reciprocal tariffs are now pushed to August 1st. China has also announced retaliatory curbs on EU medical device imports, complicating its outreach to the Eurozone.
In Japan, real wages slumped 2.9% in May, underscoring inflation pressures ahead of key elections later this month. On a more positive note, Germany’s May industrial production jumped 1.2% and the Eurozone Sentix survey beat expectations, though ECB’s Centeno warned of downside risks to inflation and potential euro weakness.
In Sweden, faster-than-expected CPI data has cast doubt on near-term rate cuts from the Riksbank. Today is quiet on the data front in North America, but attention turns to ECB’s Holzmann for further policy clues.
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